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The huge spread in TON price predictions for end of 2026 ($2–$2.50 vs $4+) mostly comes down to different assumptions about Telegram user adoption, TVL growth in TON ecosystem, and how much real utility (gaming, payments, mini-apps) will actually take off. Bullish forecasts usually bank on massive mainstream integration, while conservative ones expect slower regulatory and scaling progress. For a detailed 2026 breakdown with multiple scenarios I found https://toncasinos.com/ton-coin/price-prediction quite useful — they update it regularly based on on-chain data and ecosystem news.

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